«ممکن است سناریوی عراق را روی ایران پیاده کنند» | گفتگو با غلامرضا حداد

In this analytical interview with Dr. Gholamreza Haddad, professor of International Relations at Al-Ma'mun University, the discussion covers Iran's deterrence strategy against Israel, the meaning of preemptive attacks, diplomatic and military scenarios, game theory insights, and the role of nuclear deterrence. The conversation also examines Iran's geopolitical isolation, economic security, and potential scenarios for conflict, including the likelihood of war and the impact of policy decisions. Key moments include 00:00 opening remarks, 01:44 deterrence changes in the 12‑day war, 04:13 game theory, 11:02 rational avoidance of war, 14:34 three deterrence levers in Iran, 17:56 recent preemptive attacks, 20:48 nuclear deterrence, 26:15 Iran's geopolitical isolation, 30:55 Iranian independence vs geopolitics, 34:49 deterrence and economic security, 39:01 complementary deterrence measures, 42:28 critical security decision, 46:18 unlikely scenarios, 55:02 likely scenario if war starts, 58:14 continuation of deterrence policy, 1:02:02 inflexibility of policy, 1:04:37 acceptance of UN resolution 598, 1:06:52 enrichment achievements, 1:09:34 chance of historical turn in 8‑year war, 1:14:28 role of military, 1:17:54 collective pact, 1:20:17 multi‑level security, 1:25:05 best scenario for Arab countries, 1:29:43 balance of power consequences.