Арестович: Что принесет 2025 год Украине и миру?

00:00 – The speaker reflects on the eve of 2025, describing the final path of the old world. 03:54 – He discusses expected global changes and how to draw strength and hope. 05:55 – The war is portrayed as not changing but worsening, revealing true identities and urging the world to bend to us. 09:45 – The role of humanity in the new world is examined. 11:27 – He questions whether all are made guilty. 14:29 – The world has entered a radical collapse of the existing order, becoming dynamic for another 10–15 years, and he asks the meaning of conservatism in such conditions. 16:37 – He explains what happened in Washington and why the predicted truce by Gordon did not materialize. 22:07 – Gordon’s statement is described as an information‑psychological special operation against the “party of peace” in Ukraine. 23:30 – He considers the possibility that a truce in 2025 is excluded and how reality will be accepted. 27:57 – Russians intensify pressure on the front but not on strategic infrastructure. 30:20 – He questions why Germany, cooperating with the US, may not be advantageous for Ukraine. 33:39 – The safety of Pokrovsk or the “Friendship” oil pipeline is discussed. 34:36 – He describes the relations between the US and Europe. 37:00 – Ukraine is classified by the US and EU as an unpredictable partner, while Putin is a predictable politician, and Ukrainians live in an information bubble. 38:45 – Putin’s unpredictable behavior in Syria is noted, and countries are building a new architecture that Ukraine cannot create. 41:50 – Ukraine has become a gray zone in 2024, unable to join the team game. 43:44 – He models a scenario where the global West defeats the global South and asks where Russia fits in this architecture. 45:37 – He states that since 24 February 2022, Putin has fulfilled all promises to the West, which has not fulfilled any. 47:37 – Ukraine must be moved from a state of inadequacy to realism. 49:44 – Ukraine’s role in 2024 was downgraded by partners; it remains a super-subject with great potential but needs policy changes. 53:56 – He outlines an optimal scenario for Ukraine. 58:15 – In all democratic countries, elections are held during war. 01:00:55 – Alexey justifies the actions of the offended and deceived Putin, claiming the world view is distorted. 01:02:57 – He discusses how Western elites think about psychopaths and shape their logic. 01:04:05 – He explains Ukraine’s unpredictability that led to war and creates a gray buffer zone. 01:08:15 – Alexey explains the situation with Russia through the prism of “The Wizard of Oz.” 01:12:00 – He urges adults to speak as adults to avoid pre‑death rehabilitation of Ukraine. 01:16:00 – An alternative choice for Ukraine: less resentment. 01:18:30 – New Year preparations for Ukrainian soldiers. 01:19:50 – He announces interesting projects for the new year.