Арестович: Есть шансы на мирную сделку до конца года?

At 00:00 the speaker opens with the battle for Russian assets in the EU, noting that corruption scandals in Ukraine are not mentioned. At 06:05 he discusses Russia’s plans to go to war in 2026 despite Trump’s peace plan, and the economic stakes for Ukraine and Russia. At 11:06 he questions why European bureaucrats do not pay Ukraine for the war or facilitate the migration of Russian men to the EU. At 15:00 he outlines institutional planning and military construction in Europe. At 19:40 he examines the militarization of European society and the fight against migration. At 24:20 he describes how the future conflict model between Russia and the EU is built on the Russian‑Ukrainian war. At 29:55 he asks what Russia can do in response to the seizure of its assets. At 35:00 he compares the strategic cost of Ukraine’s war to the problems in the Russian economy, and why Ukraine needs Russian money. At 40:15 he discusses the split between the US and Europe. At 42:40 he critiques the US security doctrine and the end of Euro‑Atlantic unity. At 47:36 he describes the US military operation to remove Maduro in Venezuela as a long‑term tool to regulate the oil market and implement the Monroe doctrine, cleansing the Western hemisphere of Chinese and Russian influence. At 55:20 he claims that Trump’s and Putin’s geopolitics are ruining the EU and Ukraine. At 01:03:30 he attempts to create a position against Trump’s pressure. At 01:06:16 he visits Kupiansk, describing the strange landscape, the president’s mental state, and the purpose of the visit. At 01:13:30 he updates the front situation, noting Ukraine’s adequate ability to resist a superior opponent, and that something will happen soon. At 01:17:58 he hypothesizes about the quality of decisions by the leaders of warring countries. At 01:21:35 he discusses the nuclear power plant and Donbas for the US and Russia with unrealistic EU and Ukraine demands. At 01:27:00 he proposes an adequate solution for Ukraine. At 01:30:10 he explains how to explain the war if Donbas is taken by the enemy, and the goals and limits of war. At 01:38:10 he discusses the political model of Ukraine and whether the West will fix democracy in the country. At 01:53:50 he asks if there will be a second round of war. At 02:00:05 he says Biden will not accept Ukraine into NATO. At 02:03:50 he predicts that Ukraine may face Venezuelanization after the war, waiting for election results.