Втрати в Україні проти взятої Росією території / Підполковник Даніель Девіс та полковник Жак Бо

Over the past two months, Russia has rapidly expanded its territorial gains in Ukraine, potentially covering 900–1,000 km² in a single month—a record for wartime. Analysts argue that Russia’s primary goal is not simply to annex land but to demilitarize Ukraine by destroying its military capacity, inflicting severe personnel losses, and degrading infrastructure, economy, and air defense. This strategy of weakening the opponent first allows Russia to seize territory more easily later. With Ukraine facing massive losses, desertion, and a shrinking force, experts warn that Kyiv may soon be unable to sustain the war regardless of political will. The situation has revived discussions of a 28‑point U.S. peace plan, reportedly drafted by Secretary of State Blinken and Jared Kushner, though Russian officials insist they will only consider negotiations if Ukraine withdraws forces from four regions and abandons NATO membership—conditions that Europe strongly opposes. Inside Russia, war fatigue is growing, potentially giving President Putin a modest incentive to compromise, but the military leadership remains adamant that it will not cede any southern regions and will take them by force if a deal requires territorial concessions. Observers note that the U.S. plan does not address Russia’s 2024 “denazification” demand, leaving unclear whether Moscow will drop or soften that condition in any final settlement.